The chart
Summary table
| Band | FD unique stations | June baseline avg | Median | Std dev | Min / Max | FD vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40m | 408 | 587.2 | 581.5 | 53.3 | 447 / 702 | -179.2 (0.69×) |
| 20m | 661 | 995.5 | 1005.0 | 147.7 | 734 / 1275 | -334.5 (0.66×) |
| 15m | 310 | 255.9 | 250.5 | 81.4 | 123 / 406 | +54.1 (1.21×) |
| 10m | 129 | 77.9 | 64.0 | 40.2 | 19 / 188 | +51.1 (1.66×) |
Solar conditions
Analysis
Field Day 2026 propagation was a headwind on the workhorse bands and a tailwind on the high bands. Operators working 40m and 20m faced reach well below the typical June day, while 15m and especially 10m delivered substantially better openings than average. The net effect depends entirely on where a station chose to spend its operating time.
The two main nighttime and daytime DX bands told opposite stories. Both 40m and 20m showed markedly reduced reach to distant stations compared to the June baseline, with 20m running about two-thirds of its typical range and 40m similarly depressed. In contrast, 15m punched above its June norm by a meaningful margin, and 10m delivered exceptional propagation, reaching roughly half again as many unique stations as a typical June day and running well above even the month’s best performances. For teams that committed significant hours to the higher bands, conditions were a genuine scoring opportunity.
Solar conditions on Field Day weekend were favorable overall but came with a mixed bag of propagation signatures. The solar flux was well above the June mean, sitting near the top of the month’s range, which normally lifts the maximum usable frequency and favors the higher HF bands. That signal came through clearly in the 15m and 10m data. Geomagnetic activity was quiet, with Kp values mostly in the calm-to-unsettled range and well below the month’s stormier days. The low Kp is consistent with stable mid-latitude propagation, though it doesn’t explain the suppressed performance on 40m and 20m; that points to other factors in the ionospheric profile during the window, possibly absorption or unfavorable layer geometry that disproportionately affected the lower bands.
One important caveat clouds any propagation-only interpretation: FM29 had only nine active WSPR stations during the Field Day window, compared to nearly fourteen on a typical June day. That thirty-five percent reduction in the local participant pool means fewer receive sites and fewer transmit opportunities, which mechanically lowers the count of unique distant stations detected. Some of the apparent propagation deficit on 40m and 20m may therefore be an artifact of reduced local activity rather than purely ionospheric. The higher-band improvements are less likely to be participant-driven, since those bands depend more on openings than on station density, but the comparison is not entirely apples-to-apples.
For score interpretation, the lesson is straightforward: if your 20m or 40m contact counts fell short of expectations, propagation offers only a partial excuse, and the reduced number of local WSPR participants suggests other Field Day sites may have faced similar headwinds from non-propagation factors like participation or setup time. If your 15m or 10m results were strong, you can credit both good operating and genuinely favorable conditions. If you logged few 10m contacts despite the exceptional opening, that points to missed opportunity, either from antenna limitations or from not having an operator on that band when it was open.
For 2027 planning, this analysis argues for a dedicated high-band rover or second station with a strong 10m and 15m capability, staffed throughout the daylight hours. The 2026 data shows that even in a solar maximum June, the upper bands can deliver outsized reach when conditions align, and a team that ignores them leaves QSOs on the table that the propagation gods are offering for free.
